UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
Minneapolis, USA
5 Oct 2012
Welterweight
VS
51%
Simpson
49%
Pierce
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Simpson
This is a genuine toss-up — Simpson at 51% vs Pierce at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Pierce throws more volume but Simpson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Simpson's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Simpson
Pierce
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
71"
51
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Simpson
Pierce
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
16.5
46.0
Performance Avg
48.0
34
Quality of Victory
37
76
Momentum Score
38
Simpson
Pierce
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Simpson
Pierce
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Simpson
Pierce
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/17 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Simpson
Pierce
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
38
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Simpson
Pierce
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
44%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Simpson
Pierce
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
SimpsonPierce
Strike Zones
Simpson
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedPierce
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Simpson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pierce absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pierce targets the head (100% of attacks) — Simpson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Simpson
RND
Pierce
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Simpson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Pierce · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Simpson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mike PierceRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferRating 4.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
Pierce · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
David MitchellRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Seth BaczynskiRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10