UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
Perth, Australia
11 Feb 2023
Featherweight
VS
91%
Jenkins
9%
Shainis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jenkins
Jenkins is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jenkins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Jenkins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jenkins's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jenkins
Shainis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
67"
32+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jenkins
Shainis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
5.2
45.4
Performance Avg
0.0
31
Quality of Victory
0
81
Momentum Score
0
Jenkins
Shainis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.7
61%
Strike Accuracy
59%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
7
3
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance7
2Clinch1
8Ground2
Jenkins
Shainis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jenkins
Shainis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/17 fights
Jenkins
Shainis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Jenkins
Shainis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jenkins
Shainis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JenkinsShainis
Strike Zones
Jenkins
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedShainis
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jenkins targets the head (84% of attacks) — Shainis absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Shainis targets the head (70% of attacks) — Jenkins absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jenkins
RND
Shainis
0/0R00/0
Jenkins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Shainis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Jenkins · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Sub · R3
Gabriel SantosRating 4.7Submission
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Herbert BurnsRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Chepe MariscalRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Jamall EmmersRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Shainis · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Jack JenkinsRating 6.3Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Sub · R1
Sodiq YusuffRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10