METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
Perth, Australia
11 Feb 2023
Featherweight
VS
92%
Jenkins
8%
Shainis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jack JenkinswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Don Shainis · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jenkins
→
Actual result
Jenkins wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Jenkins is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jenkins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Risk flags
Jenkins's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JenkinsShainis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jenkins
Shainis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
67"
32+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jenkins
Shainis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.1
3.8
41.6
Performance Avg
0.0
31
Quality of Victory
0
66
Momentum Score
0
Jenkins
Shainis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
7.1
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
7
3
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance7
2Clinch1
8Ground2
Jenkins
Shainis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jenkins
Shainis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/17 fights
Jenkins
Shainis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Jenkins
Shainis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jenkins
Shainis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JenkinsShainis
Strike Zones
Jenkins
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedShainis
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jenkins targets the head (84% of attacks) — Shainis absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Shainis targets the head (70% of attacks) — Jenkins absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jenkins
RND
Shainis
0/0R00/0
Jenkins · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasDecision
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L · Sub · R3
Gabriel SantosSubmission
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Herbert BurnsKO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Chepe MariscalKO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Shainis · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Jack JenkinsDecision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Sub · R1
Sodiq YusuffSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10