UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot
Las Vegas, USA
25 Jun 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
78%
Ulberg
22%
Nchukwi
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ulberg
Ulberg is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ulberg has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Striking split: Ulberg throws more volume but Nchukwi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Nchukwi has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ulberg
Nchukwi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
77"
Reach
77"
35
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ulberg
Nchukwi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.9
20.4
68.2
Performance Avg
28.3
53
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
25
Ulberg
Nchukwi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.5
1.3
58%
Strike Accuracy
58%
7.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
3
Body
0
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
12Distance3
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Ulberg
Nchukwi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ulberg
Nchukwi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
52
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/10 fights
Ulberg
Nchukwi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
25
10-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ulberg
Nchukwi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ulberg
Nchukwi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
UlbergNchukwi
Strike Zones
Ulberg
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedNchukwi
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ulberg targets the head (60% of attacks) — Nchukwi absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Nchukwi targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Ulberg absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ulberg
RND
Nchukwi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ulberg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Nchukwi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Ulberg · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
Nchukwi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
AJ DobsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05