METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
Mexico City, Mexico
13 Jun 2015
Flyweight
VS
84%
Cejudo
16%
Camus
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Henry CejudowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chico Camus · UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cejudo
→
Actual result
Cejudo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Cejudo is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 52 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cejudo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Cejudo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cejudo's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CejudoCamus
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cejudo
Camus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+66"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cejudo
Camus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.7
12.5
57.5
Performance Avg
32.1
54
Quality of Victory
25
97
Momentum Score
45
Cejudo
Camus
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
12
8
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance13
7Clinch1
0Ground1
Cejudo
Camus
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cejudo
Camus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
8/24 fights
Cejudo
Camus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Cejudo
Camus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cejudo
Camus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
CejudoCamus
Strike Zones
Cejudo
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedCamus
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cejudo targets the head (61% of attacks) — Camus absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Camus targets the head (80% of attacks) — Cejudo absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cejudo
RND
Camus
0/0R00/0
Cejudo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Camus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Cejudo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 7Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R2
Dominick CruzRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
Camus · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Chris HoldsworthRating 5.5Decision
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
Upcoming
Yaotzin MezaUFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01