Piera Rodriguez vs Ariane Carnelossi — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy

Las Vegas, USA

18 May 2024

Women's Strawweight

51%

Rodriguez

49%

Carnelossi

Win Probability

Piera Rodriguez

"La Fiera"

12 – 2

5'3"63" reachOrthodox33 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 50

Ariane Carnelossi

"Sorriso"

15 – 4

Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox61" reach5'2"

CFR 48

★ Official Result

Ariane CarnelossiwinsR2 · 3:16

def. Piera Rodriguez · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Rodriguez

→

Actual result

Carnelossi wins

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 51% vs Carnelossi at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Carnelossi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Risk flags

Carnelossi has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

RodriguezCarnelossi

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Rodriguez

Carnelossi

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'3"+

Height

5'2"

63"+

Reach

61"

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Rodriguez

Carnelossi

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

50.4

47.7

43.6

Performance Avg

42.6

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Rodriguez

Carnelossi

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.4

/ 10

4.2

/ 10

2.1

Style: Pressure

6.0

9.4

Style: Volume

0.9

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

8Distance3

9Clinch3

4Ground0

Rodriguez

Carnelossi

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.4

/ 10

2.7

/ 10

1.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.9

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

3.3

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Rodriguez

Carnelossi

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

7/14 fights

Chin rating based on

7/19 fights

Rodriguez

Carnelossi

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · Dec · R3

L · R2

L · Sub · R2

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · Sub · R3

W · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R3

Rodriguez

Carnelossi

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

67%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez

Carnelossi

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.2

2.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.7

1.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.9

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.3

2.1

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.0

9.4

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.9

Rodriguez

Strike Zones

Carnelossi

Rodriguez

Attacking

21 landed

Absorbing

6 absorbed

Carnelossi

Attacking

6 landed

Absorbing

21 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Rodriguez targets the head (76% of attacks) — Carnelossi absorbs 76% of strikes there

🎯Carnelossi targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez

RND

Carnelossi

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Rodriguez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Sam Hughes

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03

W · Dec · R3

Ketlen Souza

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08

W · Dec · R3

Josefine Knutsson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

L · R2

Ariane Carnelossi

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

L · Sub · R2

Gillian Robertson

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

Carnelossi · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Ketlen Souza

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

L · Sub · R3

Talita Alencar

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11

W · R2

Piera Rodriguez

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

L · Dec · R3

Loopy Godinez

Decision

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

W · Sub · R3

Istela Nunes

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10

News & Media

Piera Rodriguez · Ariane Carnelossi

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