UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards
Kallang, Singapore
23 Jun 2018
Welterweight
VS
33%
Cerrone
67%
Edwards
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
DC
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36 – 17
6'1"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
Leon
Leon Edwards
"Rocky"
22 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'2"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Edwards

Edwards holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Cerrone has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cerrone has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Striking split: Cerrone throws more volume but Edwards connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Edwards has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cerrone
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cerrone
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
57.4
53.0
Performance Avg
51.1
47
Quality of Victory
36
63
Momentum Score
95
Cerrone
Edwards
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
0.7
49%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
10 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
4
Body
1
4
Leg
14
RangeRange
8Distance17
2Clinch1
1Ground0
Cerrone
Edwards
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerrone
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
20/28 fights
Cerrone
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
95
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Cerrone
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
29%
10
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerrone
Edwards
Striking5.6 / 3.6Volume3.7 / 7.2Grappling2.8 / 2.3Wrestling2.0 / 1.6Submission2.6 / 0.7Pressure6.7 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.2
Cerrone
Strike Zones
Edwards
Cerrone
Attacking
3HEAD4BODY4LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY14LEGS18 absorbed
Edwards
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY14LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD4BODY4LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the body (36% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the legs (78% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerrone
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0

Cerrone · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W6.4W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.7L5.2W5.0W5.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W1.7L5.0W5.5W5.2W5.9W2.8L5.8L1.5L5.0W6.6L5.0W6.1W4.5W5.3L3.1L3.5L5.5L1.5L3.2L2011-022013-112016-062019-052022-07
WinLossTrend

Edwards · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.0W4.5W6.6L4.5W5.5W6.0W4.9W5.5W4.5W5.6W4.7W4.5W6.6W5.6W5.8W6.6L4.5L5.0L2014-112016-102019-032023-122025-11
WinLossTrend

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Edwards · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R4
Sean BradyRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

News & Media

Donald Cerrone · Leon Edwards
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