METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards
Kallang, Singapore
23 Jun 2018
Welterweight
VS
33%
Cerrone
67%
Edwards
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Leon EdwardswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Donald Cerrone · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Edwards
→
Actual result
Edwards wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Edwards holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Cerrone has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cerrone has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Cerrone throws more volume but Edwards connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edwards has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CerroneEdwards
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cerrone
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cerrone
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
57.4
53.0
Performance Avg
51.1
47
Quality of Victory
36
63
Momentum Score
95
Cerrone
Edwards
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
0.7
49%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
10 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
4
Body
1
4
Leg
14
RangeRange
8Distance17
2Clinch1
1Ground0
Cerrone
Edwards
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerrone
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
20/28 fights
Cerrone
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
95
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Cerrone
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
29%
10
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerrone
Edwards
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.2
CerroneEdwards
Strike Zones
Cerrone
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedEdwards
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the body (36% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the legs (78% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerrone
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
Cerrone · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Cerrone · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko PriceUFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
Edwards · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R4
Sean BradyRating 4.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 5.6Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03