METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
New York City, USA
2 Nov 2019
Welterweight
VS
44%
Thompson
56%
Luque
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Stephen ThompsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Vicente Luque · UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Luque
→
Actual result
Thompson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Thompson at 44% vs Luque at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Thompson's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Luque has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ThompsonLuque
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Thompson
Luque
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
43
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thompson
Luque
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
59.9
48.9
Performance Avg
56.1
43
Quality of Victory
50
45
Momentum Score
79
Thompson
Luque
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
5.4
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
7.7
5.1
Style: Volume
2.3
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
43
Head
7
11
Body
1
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
46Distance14
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Thompson
Luque
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.1
0
Submission wins
7
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thompson
Luque
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/26 fights
Chin rating based on
26/36 fights
Thompson
Luque
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
79
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Thompson
Luque
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
82%
6
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
7
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thompson
Luque
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.1
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
ThompsonLuque
Strike Zones
Thompson
Attacking
55 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedLuque
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
55 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thompson targets the head (78% of attacks) — Luque absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Luque targets the head (50% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thompson
RND
Luque
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Thompson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Joaquin BuckleyKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
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W · KO · R4
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadDecision
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Luque · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tresean GoreDecision
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W · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Joel AlvarezDecision
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L · Sub · R2
Kevin HollandSubmission
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W · Sub · R1
Themba GorimboSubmission
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