UFC 19: Ultimate Young Guns
Bay St. Louis, USA
5 Mar 1999
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Goodridge
50%
Roberts
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Goodridge
This is a genuine toss-up — Goodridge at 50% vs Roberts at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Goodridge has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Goodridge has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Goodridge's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Goodridge
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
60+
Age
61
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Goodridge
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
21.1
56.0
Performance Avg
52.9
60
Quality of Victory
44
65
Momentum Score
85
Goodridge
Roberts
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
0.6
57%
Strike Accuracy
52%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance2
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Goodridge
Roberts
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
1.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Goodridge
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/45 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Goodridge
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
85
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R2
Goodridge
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Goodridge
Roberts
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
GoodridgeRoberts
Strike Zones
Goodridge
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedRoberts
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Goodridge targets the head (75% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Roberts targets the head (100% of attacks) — Goodridge absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Goodridge
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0
Goodridge · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Roberts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Goodridge · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Andre RobertsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 19: Ultimate Young Guns · 1999-03
L · Sub · R1
Don FryeRating 1.5Submission
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '96 · 1996-12
L · Sub · R1
Mark ColemanRating 1.5Submission
UFC 10: The Tournament · 1996-07
W · KO · R1
John CampetellaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 10: The Tournament · 1996-07
L · R1
Mark SchultzRating 4UFC 9: Motor City Madness · 1996-05
Roberts · Last 3
W · KO · R1
Ron WatermanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07
L · KO · R1
Gary GoodridgeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 19: Ultimate Young Guns · 1999-03
W · Dec · R2
Harry MoskowitzRating 4.2Decision
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05