METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Tampa, USA
16 Apr 2016
Women's Strawweight
VS
56%
Namajunas
44%
Pennington
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rose NamajunaswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tecia Pennington · UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Namajunas
→
Actual result
Namajunas wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Namajunas at 56% vs Pennington at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Namajunas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Namajunas's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NamajunasPennington
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Namajunas
Pennington
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'1"
65"+
Reach
60"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Namajunas
Pennington
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.4
49.8
54.8
Performance Avg
39.8
49
Quality of Victory
28
100
Momentum Score
89
Namajunas
Pennington
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
2.4
5.9
Style: Volume
7.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
4
Body
4
1
Leg
11
RangeRange
8Distance16
0Clinch2
1Ground1
Namajunas
Pennington
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Namajunas
Pennington
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
19/23 fights
Namajunas
Pennington
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
89
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Namajunas
Pennington
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
9%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Namajunas
Pennington
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
NamajunasPennington
Strike Zones
Namajunas
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedPennington
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Namajunas targets the head (44% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Pennington targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Namajunas
RND
Pennington
0/0R00/0
Namajunas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaDecision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernDecision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04