UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
Brooklyn, USA
7 Apr 2018
Women's Flyweight
VS
37%
Rawlings
63%
Evans-Smith
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
BR
Bec Rawlings
"Rowdy"
7 – 8
5'6"64" reachOrthodox37 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
AE
Ashlee Evans-Smith
"Rebel Girl"
6 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'8"
CFR 26

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Evans-Smith

Evans-Smith holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Rawlings has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rawlings has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Evans-Smith has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rawlings
Evans-Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
64"
Reach
+67"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rawlings
Evans-Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.0
26.0
35.1
Performance Avg
33.3
40
Quality of Victory
33
53
Momentum Score
26
Rawlings
Evans-Smith
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
33%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
28
5
Body
3
11
Leg
5
RangeRange
30Distance36
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rawlings
Evans-Smith
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rawlings
Evans-Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
68
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
9/12 fights
Rawlings
Evans-Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
26
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Rawlings
Evans-Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rawlings
Evans-Smith
Striking0.6 / 4.0Volume4.6 / 6.0Grappling5.2 / 1.6Wrestling3.6 / 1.1Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.4 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Rawlings
Strike Zones
Evans-Smith
Rawlings
Attacking
14HEAD5BODY11LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD3BODY5LEGS36 absorbed
Evans-Smith
Attacking
28HEAD3BODY5LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD5BODY11LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rawlings targets the head (47% of attacks) — Evans-Smith absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Evans-Smith targets the head (78% of attacks) — Rawlings absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rawlings
RND
Evans-Smith
0/0R00/0

Rawlings · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.0W4.5W2.8L6.2L5.5L5.5L2014-122016-032017-022018-04
WinLossTrend

Evans-Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.1L4.5W5.8W5.9L1.5L4.5W5.9L6.0L6.5L2014-122017-042019-022023-07
WinLossTrend

Rawlings · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ashlee Evans-SmithRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Dec · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Paige VanZantRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Seo Hee HamRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03

Evans-Smith · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Bec RawlingsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Sub · R1
Sarah MorasRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09

News & Media

Bec Rawlings · Ashlee Evans-Smith
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