UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson
Melbourne, Australia
26 Nov 2016
Flyweight
VS
50%
Nguyen
50%
Herrera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
BN
Ben Nguyen
"Ten"
16 – 8
5'5"65" reachSwitch37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
GH
Geane Herrera
"La Pulga"
9 – 3
Knockout Artist2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'5"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nguyen

This is a genuine toss-up — Nguyen at 50% vs Herrera at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Nguyen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nguyen's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Nguyen
Herrera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+66"
37
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Nguyen
Herrera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
17.3
51.8
Performance Avg
43.0
48
Quality of Victory
55
33
Momentum Score
29
Nguyen
Herrera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.8
37%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
5
5
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
30Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nguyen
Herrera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nguyen
Herrera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Nguyen
Herrera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
29
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Nguyen
Herrera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nguyen
Herrera
Striking3.6 / 10.0Volume3.1 / 0.5Grappling4.6 / 0.0Wrestling3.2 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Nguyen
Strike Zones
Herrera
Nguyen
Attacking
22HEAD5BODY3LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Herrera
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD5BODY3LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nguyen targets the head (73% of attacks) — Herrera absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Herrera targets the head (71% of attacks) — Nguyen absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nguyen
RND
Herrera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nguyen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.1W4.0L5.5L2015-052016-072017-062018-12
WinLossTrend

Herrera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L2015-082015-122016-062016-11
WinLossTrend

Nguyen · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R3
Jussier FormigaRating 4
Submission
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Sub · R1
Tim ElliottRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Geane HerreraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · KO · R2
Louis SmolkaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07

Herrera · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Joby SanchezRating 5.2
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Ray BorgRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08

News & Media

Ben Nguyen · Geane Herrera
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