METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson
Melbourne, Australia
26 Nov 2016
Flyweight
VS
50%
Nguyen
50%
Herrera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ben NguyenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Geane Herrera · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nguyen
→
Actual result
Nguyen wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nguyen at 50% vs Herrera at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nguyen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nguyen's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NguyenHerrera
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nguyen
Herrera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+66"
37
Age
+36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Nguyen
Herrera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
17.3
51.8
Performance Avg
43.0
48
Quality of Victory
55
33
Momentum Score
29
Nguyen
Herrera
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
0.8
37%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
5
5
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
30Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nguyen
Herrera
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nguyen
Herrera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Nguyen
Herrera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
29
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Nguyen
Herrera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nguyen
Herrera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
NguyenHerrera
Strike Zones
Nguyen
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedHerrera
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nguyen targets the head (73% of attacks) — Herrera absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Herrera targets the head (71% of attacks) — Nguyen absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nguyen
RND
Herrera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nguyen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Herrera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Nguyen · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R3
Jussier FormigaRating 4Submission
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Sub · R1
Tim ElliottRating 5.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Geane HerreraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · KO · R2
Louis SmolkaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
Herrera · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Joby SanchezRating 5.2KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Ray BorgRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08