METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson
Melbourne, Australia
26 Nov 2016
Flyweight
VS
50%
Nguyen
50%
Herrera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ben NguyenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Geane Herrera · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nguyen
→
Actual result
Nguyen wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nguyen at 50% vs Herrera at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Nguyen's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NguyenHerrera
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nguyen
Herrera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+66"
38
Age
+36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Nguyen
Herrera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
17.3
51.8
Performance Avg
43.0
48
Quality of Victory
55
33
Momentum Score
29
Nguyen
Herrera
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
7.8
3.1
Style: Volume
0.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
5
5
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
30Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nguyen
Herrera
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nguyen
Herrera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Nguyen
Herrera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
29
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Nguyen
Herrera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nguyen
Herrera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
NguyenHerrera
Strike Zones
Nguyen
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedHerrera
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nguyen targets the head (73% of attacks) — Herrera absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Herrera targets the head (71% of attacks) — Nguyen absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nguyen
RND
Herrera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nguyen · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R3
Jussier FormigaSubmission
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Sub · R1
Tim ElliottSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Geane HerreraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · KO · R2
Louis SmolkaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
Herrera · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovDecision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Joby SanchezKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Ray BorgDecision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08