UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
New York City, USA
15 Nov 2025
Middleweight
VS
53%
Nickal
47%
Vieira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:24
Bo
Bo Nickal
8 – 1
6'1"76" reachSouthpaw30 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 68
Rodolfo
Rodolfo Vieira
11 – 5
Submission Hunter2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 61

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nickal

This is a genuine toss-up — Nickal at 53% vs Vieira at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Vieira throws more volume but Nickal connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Vieira has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nickal
Vieira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
73"
30+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nickal
Vieira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.4
60.7
62.0
Performance Avg
49.5
48
Quality of Victory
46
89
Momentum Score
91
Nickal
Vieira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
2
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nickal
Vieira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.7
/ 10
7.1
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.0
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
8.3
2
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nickal
Vieira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/9 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Nickal
Vieira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
91
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Nickal
Vieira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
83%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
5
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nickal
Vieira
Striking5.7 / 1.1Volume3.3 / 2.4Grappling3.7 / 7.1Wrestling2.6 / 5.0Submission4.0 / 8.3Pressure8.1 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.1
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.3
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
Nickal
Strike Zones
Vieira
Nickal
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Vieira
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nickal targets the head (64% of attacks) — Vieira absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Vieira targets the head (33% of attacks) — Nickal absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nickal
RND
Vieira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nickal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.0W5.8W5.2W3.8L6.8W2023-032023-072024-042024-112025-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Vieira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W5.0W4.2L5.5W6.2L5.8W5.0W6.0L5.7W5.7L5.5L2019-082021-072024-022025-112026-04
WinLossTrend

Nickal · Last 5

Upcoming
Kyle Daukaus
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R3
Rodolfo VieiraRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Reinier de RidderRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Paul CraigRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R2
Cody BrundageRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Vieira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Eric McConicoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Bo NickalRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Tresean GoreRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Armen PetrosyanRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

News & Media

Bo Nickal · Rodolfo Vieira
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