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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
New York City, USA
15 Nov 2025
Middleweight
VS
54%
Nickal
46%
Vieira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:24
Bo
Bo Nickal
81
6'1"76" reachSouthpaw30 yrs2-fight win streakStriker
CFR 70
Rodolfo
Rodolfo Vieira
115
Submission Hunter2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 61
★ Official Result
Bo NickalwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:24
def. Rodolfo Vieira · UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nickal
Actual result
Nickal wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Nickal at 54% vs Vieira at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Vieira has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
NickalVieira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Nickal
Vieira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
73"
30+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nickal
Vieira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.0
60.7
64.1
Performance Avg
49.5
50
Quality of Victory
46
89
Momentum Score
91
Nickal
Vieira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
8.4
Style: Pressure
7.5
3.0
Style: Volume
2.4
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
2
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nickal
Vieira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
7.1
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
8.3
2
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nickal
Vieira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
7/9 fights
Chin rating based on
12/16 fights
Nickal
Vieira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
91
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Nickal
Vieira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
83%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
5
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nickal
Vieira
Striking6.7 / 1.1Volume3.0 / 2.4Grappling3.1 / 7.1Wrestling2.1 / 5.0Submission3.3 / 8.3Pressure8.4 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.1
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.3
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
Nickal
Strike Zones
Vieira
Nickal
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Vieira
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nickal targets the head (64% of attacks) — Vieira absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Vieira targets the head (33% of attacks) — Nickal absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nickal
RND
Vieira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nickal · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Kyle Daukaus
KO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R3
Rodolfo Vieira
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Reinier de Ridder
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Paul Craig
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R2
Cody Brundage
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Vieira · Last 5

Upcoming
Robert Bryczek
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Eric McConico
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Bo Nickal
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Tresean Gore
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Andre Petroski
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

News & Media

Bo Nickal · Rodolfo Vieira
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