UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver
Boston, USA
18 Jan 2015
Lightweight
VS
55%
Parke
45%
Tibau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
NP
Norman Parke
"Stormin'"
23 – 6
5'11"70" reachSouthpaw39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
GT
Gleison Tibau
33 – 14
Well-Rounded4-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'10"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Parke

This is a genuine toss-up — Parke at 55% vs Tibau at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Parke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Parke throws more volume but Tibau connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Tibau has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Parke
Tibau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
39+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Parke
Tibau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
15.4
52.6
Performance Avg
43.2
46
Quality of Victory
34
55
Momentum Score
74
Parke
Tibau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.8
32%
Strike Accuracy
35%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
10
5
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance10
5Clinch4
0Ground0
Parke
Tibau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Parke
Tibau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/29 fights
Chin rating based on
28/47 fights
Parke
Tibau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
74
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Parke
Tibau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
31%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Parke
Tibau
Striking3.3 / 1.8Volume7.7 / 6.6Grappling1.9 / 3.6Wrestling1.3 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure3.3 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Parke
Strike Zones
Tibau
Parke
Attacking
17HEAD5BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY3LEGS14 absorbed
Tibau
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY3LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD5BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Parke targets the head (77% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Tibau targets the head (71% of attacks) — Parke absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Parke
RND
Tibau
0/0R00/0

Parke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L2012-122013-102015-012015-102016-02
WinLossTrend

Tibau · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W4.7W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.0L4.0L3.5L5.5L2006-112009-042011-112014-072018-06
WinLossTrend

Parke · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · KO · R2
Naoyuki KotaniRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07

Tibau · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

News & Media

Norman Parke · Gleison Tibau
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