METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
Montreal, Canada
16 Mar 2013
Welterweight
VS
44%
Condit
56%
Hendricks
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CC
Carlos Condit
"The Natural Born Killer"
3214
6'2"75" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
JH
Johny Hendricks
"Bigg Rigg"
188
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw69" reach5'9"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Johny HendrickswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Carlos Condit · UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hendricks
Actual result
Hendricks wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Condit at 44% vs Hendricks at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Condit's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hendricks has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ConditHendricks
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Condit
Hendricks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
69"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Condit
Hendricks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
17.8
47.8
Performance Avg
48.2
48
Quality of Victory
39
20
Momentum Score
80
Condit
Hendricks
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
4.5
4.5
Style: Volume
6.2
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
3
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance2
1Clinch2
3Ground0
Condit
Hendricks
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Condit
Hendricks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
24
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
19/46 fights
Chin rating based on
21/26 fights
Condit
Hendricks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
80
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Condit
Hendricks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
39%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Condit
Hendricks
Striking5.4 / 5.1Volume4.5 / 6.2Grappling1.1 / 1.5Wrestling0.8 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Condit
Strike Zones
Hendricks
Condit
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY3LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Hendricks
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY3LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Condit targets the head (57% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Hendricks targets the head (75% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Condit
RND
Hendricks
0/0R00/0

Condit · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Max Griffin
Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Matt Brown
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Court McGee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Michael Chiesa
Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Alex Oliveira
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04

Hendricks · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Paulo Costa
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim Boetsch
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector Lombard
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil Magny
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin Gastelum
Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07

News & Media

Carlos Condit · Johny Hendricks
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