METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
Montreal, Canada
16 Mar 2013
Welterweight
VS
56%
Condit
44%
Hendricks
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Johny HendrickswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Carlos Condit · UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Condit
→
Actual result
Hendricks wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Condit at 56% vs Hendricks at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Condit throws more volume but Hendricks connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Condit's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hendricks has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ConditHendricks
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Condit
Hendricks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
69"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Condit
Hendricks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.3
17.8
47.8
Performance Avg
48.2
48
Quality of Victory
39
20
Momentum Score
80
Condit
Hendricks
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.9
40%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
3
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance2
1Clinch2
3Ground0
Condit
Hendricks
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Condit
Hendricks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
24
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/46 fights
Chin rating based on
21/26 fights
Condit
Hendricks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
80
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Condit
Hendricks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
39%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Condit
Hendricks
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
ConditHendricks
Strike Zones
Condit
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedHendricks
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Condit targets the head (57% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Hendricks targets the head (75% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Condit
RND
Hendricks
0/0R00/0
Condit · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Hendricks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Condit · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Matt BrownRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Michael ChiesaRating 3.5Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
Hendricks · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07