METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Milwaukee, USA
14 Aug 2011
Lightweight
VS
31%
Cerrone
69%
Oliveira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:01
DC
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36 – 17
6'1"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
Charles
Charles Oliveira
"Do Bronxs"
37 – 11
Pressure Fighter2-fight win streak36 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Donald CerronewinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:01
def. Charles Oliveira · UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Cerrone wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Oliveira holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Cerrone has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CerroneOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cerrone
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerrone
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
63.3
53.0
Performance Avg
58.6
47
Quality of Victory
51
63
Momentum Score
100
Cerrone
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
8.0
3.7
Style: Volume
2.7
10 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
5
2
Body
3
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance10
1Clinch0
15Ground0
Cerrone
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.1
2.6
Submission Style (/10)
6.8
6
Submission wins
17
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cerrone
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Cerrone
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
100
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Cerrone
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
84%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
17
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerrone
Oliveira
Striking5.6 / 3.0Volume3.7 / 2.7Grappling2.8 / 5.8Wrestling2.0 / 4.1Submission2.6 / 6.8Pressure6.7 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
Cerrone
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Cerrone
Attacking
22HEAD2BODY6LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Oliveira
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD2BODY6LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the head (73% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (50% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerrone
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jim Miller
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex Morono
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Pettis
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregor
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Oliveira · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Max Holloway
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz Gamrot
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia Topuria
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael Chandler
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman Tsarukyan
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Donald Cerrone · Charles Oliveira
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