METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
Las Vegas, USA
22 Feb 2014
Welterweight
VS
36%
MacDonald
64%
Maia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rory MacDonaldwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Demian Maia · UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
→
Actual result
MacDonald wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Maia holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but MacDonald has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
MacDonald has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
MacDonald's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Maia has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MacDonaldMaia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
MacDonald
Maia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
76"+
Reach
72"
36+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
MacDonald
Maia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
32.4
51.3
Performance Avg
50.8
39
Quality of Victory
40
61
Momentum Score
100
MacDonald
Maia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
10
4
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
28Distance11
0Clinch0
1Ground0
MacDonald
Maia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.1
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
MacDonald
Maia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/23 fights
Chin rating based on
33/39 fights
MacDonald
Maia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
MacDonald
Maia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
55%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
11
5
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
MacDonald
Maia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.1
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
MacDonaldMaia
Strike Zones
MacDonald
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMaia
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (83% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Maia targets the head (91% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
MacDonald
RND
Maia
0/0R00/0
MacDonald · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
MacDonald · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Stephen ThompsonRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R5
Robbie LawlerRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02