UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald
London, United Kingdom
16 Feb 2013
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Manuwa
54%
Diabate
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Diabate
This is a genuine toss-up — Manuwa at 46% vs Diabate at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Diabate has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Manuwa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Diabate has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Manuwa
Diabate
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'6"
79"
Reach
+81"
46+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Manuwa
Diabate
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
17.7
45.2
Performance Avg
44.6
42
Quality of Victory
41
53
Momentum Score
68
Manuwa
Diabate
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
75%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
1
Body
7
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance2
8Clinch7
1Ground0
Manuwa
Diabate
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
0.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Manuwa
Diabate
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
8/29 fights
Manuwa
Diabate
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
68
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Manuwa
Diabate
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Manuwa
Diabate
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
ManuwaDiabate
Strike Zones
Manuwa
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedDiabate
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Manuwa targets the head (56% of attacks) — Diabate absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Diabate targets the body (78% of attacks) — Manuwa absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Manuwa
RND
Diabate
0/0R00/0
Manuwa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Diabate · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Manuwa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Aleksandar RakicRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Thiago SantosRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
W · KO · R1
Corey AndersonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
Diabate · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ilir LatifiRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
L · R1
Jimi ManuwaRating 4UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Chad GriggsRating 5Submission
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Tom DeBlassRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R2
Anthony PeroshRating 2.8Submission
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11