UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
13 Oct 2012
Lightweight
VS
33%
Tibau
67%
Trinaldo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
GT
Gleison Tibau
33 – 14
5'10"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
FT
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
28 – 9
Well-Rounded47 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'9"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Trinaldo

Trinaldo holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Tibau has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Trinaldo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tibau's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Trinaldo has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Tibau
Trinaldo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Tibau
Trinaldo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
31.7
43.2
Performance Avg
48.6
34
Quality of Victory
35
74
Momentum Score
100
Tibau
Trinaldo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.1
35%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
5
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance6
5Clinch2
6Ground0
Tibau
Trinaldo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tibau
Trinaldo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
64
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/47 fights
Chin rating based on
26/37 fights
Tibau
Trinaldo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Tibau
Trinaldo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tibau
Trinaldo
Striking1.8 / 3.6Volume6.6 / 6.3Grappling3.6 / 2.4Wrestling2.5 / 1.6Submission2.5 / 1.1Pressure3.9 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Tibau
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Tibau
Attacking
18HEAD1BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Trinaldo
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD1BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tibau targets the head (95% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (63% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tibau
RND
Trinaldo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Tibau · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W4.7W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.0L4.0L3.5L5.5L2006-112009-042011-112014-072018-06
WinLossTrend

Trinaldo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.5L5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W6.3L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.8L4.9W5.5L5.2W6.4L5.2W4.5W6.2W6.5L4.5W4.5W6.4L2012-062014-092017-032020-072022-10
WinLossTrend

Tibau · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

Trinaldo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

News & Media

Gleison Tibau · Francisco Trinaldo
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