METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson
New Orleans, USA
6 Jun 2015
Featherweight
VS
22%
Tavares
78%
Ortega
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:10
★ Official Result
Brian OrtegawinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:10
def. Thiago Tavares · UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ortega
→
Actual result
Ortega wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ortega is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TavaresOrtega
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tavares
Ortega
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Tavares
Ortega
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
62.1
48.8
Performance Avg
53.7
42
Quality of Victory
48
81
Momentum Score
80
Tavares
Ortega
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
8.0
4.4
Style: Volume
2.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
29
1
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance20
1Clinch2
0Ground9
Tavares
Ortega
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
5
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tavares
Ortega
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Tavares
Ortega
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
80
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Tavares
Ortega
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
88%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
5
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tavares
Ortega
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
TavaresOrtega
Strike Zones
Tavares
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedOrtega
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (75% of attacks) — Ortega absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Ortega targets the head (94% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tavares
RND
Ortega
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tavares · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · KO · R3
Brian OrtegaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · Sub · R1
Robert PeraltaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
W · Sub · R1
Justin SalasSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
Ortega · Last 5
Upcoming
Renato MoicanoUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R3
Yair RodriguezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Yair RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07