★ Championship Bout · Lightweight
UFC 112: Invincible
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Apr 2010
Lightweight
VS
47%
Penn
53%
Edgar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edgar
This is a genuine toss-up — Penn at 47% vs Edgar at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Penn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Striking split: Edgar throws more volume but Penn connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Penn's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edgar has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Penn
Edgar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
47
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penn
Edgar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
25.4
56.9
Performance Avg
48.0
63
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
68
Penn
Edgar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
15
2
Body
5
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance21
3Clinch0
0Ground1
Penn
Edgar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Penn
Edgar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/30 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Penn
Edgar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
68
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Penn
Edgar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
33%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penn
Edgar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
1.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
PennEdgar
Strike Zones
Penn
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedEdgar
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penn targets the head (75% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Edgar targets the head (68% of attacks) — Penn absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penn
RND
Edgar
0/0R00/0
Penn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Edgar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Penn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Ryan HallRating 1.5Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R2
Yair RodriguezRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
Edgar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12