UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
Nottingham, United Kingdom
29 Sept 2012
Lightweight
VS
61%
Sass
39%
Wiman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:48
PS
Paul Sass
14 – 2
6'0"73" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 24
MW
Matt Wiman
16 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'10"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sass

Sass holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Wiman has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sass has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Wiman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Wiman has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Sass
Wiman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
68"
37+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sass
Wiman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.0
15.4
56.4
Performance Avg
46.3
54
Quality of Victory
40
91
Momentum Score
54
Sass
Wiman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.2
29%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
6Ground2
Sass
Wiman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sass
Wiman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
4
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Sass
Wiman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
54
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Sass
Wiman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sass
Wiman
Striking1.2 / 3.1Volume1.2 / 5.1Grappling8.0 / 3.6Wrestling5.6 / 2.5Submission10.0 / 3.0Pressure8.8 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Sass
Strike Zones
Wiman
Sass
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Wiman
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sass targets the head (67% of attacks) — Wiman absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Wiman targets the head (67% of attacks) — Sass absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sass
RND
Wiman
0/0R00/0

Sass · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.1W5.0W1.5L5.5L2010-102011-102012-052012-092013-02
WinLossTrend

Wiman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.2W5.9L5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W4.0L6.2L3.0L2006-052008-122011-072019-062020-12
WinLossTrend

Sass · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Matt WimanRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · Sub · R1
Jacob VolkmannRating 5
Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Michael JohnsonRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
W · Sub · R1
Mark HolstRating 5
Submission
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10

Wiman · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jordan LeavittRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · KO · R3
Luis PenaRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · KO · R1
TJ GrantRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01

News & Media

Paul Sass · Matt Wiman
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