UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Nov 2016
Bantamweight
VS
29%
Briones
71%
Andrade
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Andrade
Andrade is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Briones has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Briones's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Andrade has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Briones
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
45
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Briones
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
38.4
37.7
Performance Avg
42.2
50
Quality of Victory
37
33
Momentum Score
28
Briones
Andrade
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
39%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
17
5
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance18
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Briones
Andrade
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Briones
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
36
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/24 fights
Chin rating based on
14/36 fights
Briones
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
28
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Briones
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
43%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Briones
Andrade
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
BrionesAndrade
Strike Zones
Briones
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedAndrade
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Briones targets the head (61% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the head (89% of attacks) — Briones absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Briones
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Briones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Briones · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Frankie SaenzRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
L · Sub · R1
Rani YahyaRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · KO · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.6Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Guido CannettiRating 5.2Submission
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11
Andrade · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Javier ReyesRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Sergey MorozovRating 5.2Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02