UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
Adelaide, Australia
1 Dec 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Crute
43%
Craig
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:51
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Crute
This is a genuine toss-up — Crute at 57% vs Craig at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Crute has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Crute's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Craig has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Crute
Craig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+76"
30+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Crute
Craig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.0
49.1
56.7
Performance Avg
50.4
55
Quality of Victory
52
91
Momentum Score
46
Crute
Craig
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Crute
Craig
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Crute
Craig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
6
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Crute
Craig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
46
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Crute
Craig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
6
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Crute
Craig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
CruteCraig
Strike Zones
Crute
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedCraig
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Crute targets the head (100% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Craig targets the head (67% of attacks) — Crute absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Crute
RND
Craig
0/0R00/0
Crute · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Craig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Crute · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Ivan ErslanRating 5Submission
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Craig · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Modestas BukauskasRating 2.3KO/TKO
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