Jimmy Crute vs Paul Craig — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa

Adelaide, Australia

1 Dec 2018

Light Heavyweight

57%

Crute

43%

Craig

Win Probability

Submission

Round 3 · 4:51

Jimmy Crute

14 – 4

6'2"74" reachOrthodox30 yrs2-fight win streakPressure Fighter

CFR 66

Paul Craig

"Bearjew"

17 – 10

Pressure Fighter4-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"

CFR 49

★ Official Result

Jimmy CrutewinsSubmissionR3 · 4:51

def. Paul Craig · UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Crute

→

Actual result

Crute wins

Submission · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Crute at 57% vs Craig at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Crute's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Craig has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

CruteCraig

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Crute

Craig

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"

Height

+6'3"

74"

Reach

+76"

30+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Crute

Craig

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

66.0

49.1

56.7

Performance Avg

50.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Crute

Craig

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.5

/ 10

4.3

/ 10

8.8

Style: Pressure

8.4

1.2

Style: Volume

0.9

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

0Distance3

0Clinch0

8Ground0

Crute

Craig

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.3

/ 10

5.3

/ 10

3.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.7

6.7

Submission Style (/10)

6.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Crute

Craig

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.2 stoppage

5 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

12/18 fights

Chin rating based on

21/27 fights

Crute

Craig

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

4-fight 📉 slide

W · Sub · R1

Upcoming

L · Sub · R2

Upcoming

Last 5

L · KO · R1

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

L · Sub · R3

Crute

Craig

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Crute

Craig

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.3

5.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

5.3

3.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.7

6.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

6.7

8.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.4

1.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.9

Crute

Strike Zones

Craig

Crute

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Craig

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Crute targets the head (100% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Craig targets the head (67% of attacks) — Crute absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Crute

RND

Craig

0/0R00/0

Crute · Last 5

W · Sub · R1

Ivan Erslan

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09

W · Sub · R1

Marcin Prachnio

Submission

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

Upcoming

Rodolfo Bellato

Decision

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

L · Sub · R2

Alonzo Menifield

Submission

UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07

Upcoming

Alonzo Menifield

Decision

UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02

Craig · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Modestas Bukauskas

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09

Upcoming

Rodolfo Bellato

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

L · Dec · R3

Bo Nickal

Decision

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

L · KO · R2

Caio Borralho

KO/TKO

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

L · Sub · R3

Brendan Allen

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11

News & Media

Jimmy Crute · Paul Craig

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