UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Welterweight
VS
40%
Thompson
60%
Bonfim
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bonfim
Bonfim holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Thompson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Thompson throws more volume but Bonfim connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Thompson's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thompson
Bonfim
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
72"
43
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thompson
Bonfim
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
69.3
48.9
Performance Avg
61.5
43
Quality of Victory
45
45
Momentum Score
100
Thompson
Bonfim
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
4
Body
5
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance4
1Clinch6
0Ground0
Thompson
Bonfim
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thompson
Bonfim
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/26 fights
Chin rating based on
8/20 fights
Thompson
Bonfim
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Thompson
Bonfim
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thompson
Bonfim
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
ThompsonBonfim
Strike Zones
Thompson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedBonfim
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thompson targets the body (57% of attacks) — Bonfim absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Bonfim targets the body (50% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thompson
RND
Bonfim
0/0R00/0
Thompson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Bonfim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Thompson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BonfimRating 7.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · KO · R4
Kevin HollandRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
Bonfim · Last 5
Upcoming
Belal MuhammadUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Randy BrownRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Khaos WilliamsRating 6.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ange LoosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

