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UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Brasilia, Brazil
14 Mar 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
55%
Silva
45%
Moroz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Mayra
Mayra Bueno Silva
"Sheetara"
107
5'6"66" reachOrthodox35 yrs5-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 47
Maryna
Maryna Moroz
"Iron Lady"
116
Well-Rounded3-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 39
★ Official Result
Maryna MorozwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mayra Bueno Silva · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
Actual result
Moroz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 55% vs Moroz at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SilvaMoroz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Silva
Moroz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
+67"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Moroz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.2
39.1
45.0
Performance Avg
40.3
47
Quality of Victory
34
26
Momentum Score
90
Silva
Moroz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
3.8
2.4
Style: Volume
6.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
32
13
Body
20
9
Leg
4
RangeRange
38Distance53
5Clinch3
0Ground0
Silva
Moroz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.9
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
4.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
8.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
4
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Moroz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Strikes absorbed / min
14/17 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Silva
Moroz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
90
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Moroz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Moroz
Striking0.8 / 1.0Volume2.4 / 6.3Grappling6.9 / 4.3Wrestling4.8 / 3.0Submission8.0 / 3.3Pressure6.8 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
6.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
4.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
8.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Silva
Strike Zones
Moroz
Silva
Attacking
21HEAD13BODY9LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD20BODY4LEGS56 absorbed
Moroz
Attacking
32HEAD20BODY4LEGS56 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD13BODY9LEGS43 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (49% of attacks) — Moroz absorbs 49% of strikes there
🎯Moroz targets the head (57% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Moroz
0/0R00/0

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michelle Montague
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · R2
Macy Chiasson
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Raquel Pennington
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

Moroz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joanne Wood
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Karine Silva
Submission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer Maia
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Mariya Agapova
Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Mayra Bueno Silva
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03

News & Media

Mayra Bueno Silva · Maryna Moroz
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