UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Newark, USA
19 Mar 2011
Lightweight
VS
97%
Miller
3%
Shalorus
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
Miller is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Miller has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Shalorus has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
Shalorus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
68"
42+
Age
53
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Shalorus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
1.5
51.5
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Miller
Shalorus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
14%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
4
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance4
3Clinch0
8Ground0
Miller
Shalorus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Shalorus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Miller
Shalorus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Miller
Shalorus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Shalorus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MillerShalorus
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedShalorus
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (83% of attacks) — Shalorus absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Shalorus targets the head (100% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Shalorus
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Shalorus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Shalorus · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 1.7Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · Sub · R3
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 4Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · KO · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
