Sergei Pavlovich vs Marcelo Golm — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik

Saint Petersburg, Russia

20 Apr 2019

Heavyweight

78%

Pavlovich

22%

Golm

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 1:06

Sergei Pavlovich

20 – 3

6'3"84" reachSouthpaw34 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist

CFR 64

Marcelo Golm

6 – 3

Submission Hunter3-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"

CFR 18

★ Official Result

Sergei PavlovichwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:06

def. Marcelo Golm · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Pavlovich

→

Actual result

Pavlovich wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Pavlovich is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Pavlovich's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

PavlovichGolm

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Pavlovich

Golm

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'3"

Height

6'3"

84"+

Reach

75"

Age

+33

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Pavlovich

Golm

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

63.5

17.6

62.0

Performance Avg

42.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Pavlovich

Golm

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

9.3

/ 10

0.5

/ 10

7.7

Style: Pressure

7.8

3.3

Style: Volume

0.5

7 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

14Distance4

3Clinch1

0Ground0

Pavlovich

Golm

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.5

/ 10

8.0

/ 10

0.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

5.6

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

10.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Pavlovich

Golm

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

4 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

12/23 fights

Chin rating based on

4/9 fights

Pavlovich

Golm

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

Pavlovich

Golm

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

78%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pavlovich

Golm

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

9.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

8.0

0.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

5.6

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

10.0

7.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.8

3.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.5

Pavlovich

Strike Zones

Golm

Pavlovich

Attacking

17 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Golm

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

17 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Pavlovich targets the head (100% of attacks) — Golm absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Golm targets the head (80% of attacks) — Pavlovich absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pavlovich

RND

Golm

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Pavlovich · Last 5

W · KO · R1

Tallison Teixeira

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05

W · Dec · R3

Waldo Cortes Acosta

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

W · Dec · R3

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02

L · Dec · R3

Alexander Volkov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06

L · KO · R1

Tom Aspinall

KO/TKO

UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

Golm · Last 4

L · KO · R1

Sergei Pavlovich

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

L · Dec · R3

Arjan Bhullar

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

L · Dec · R3

Timothy Johnson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

W · Sub · R1

Christian Colombo

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10

News & Media

Sergei Pavlovich · Marcelo Golm

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