UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
18 May 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
50%
Pinheiro
50%
Hill
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pinheiro
This is a genuine toss-up — Pinheiro at 50% vs Hill at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pinheiro's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pinheiro
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'3"
62"
Reach
+64"
33+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pinheiro
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
36.2
33.1
Performance Avg
36.7
27
Quality of Victory
31
49
Momentum Score
40
Pinheiro
Hill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
11
3
Body
9
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance17
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Pinheiro
Hill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pinheiro
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
48
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Pinheiro
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
40
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pinheiro
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
15%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pinheiro
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
PinheiroHill
Strike Zones
Pinheiro
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedHill
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pinheiro targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (55% of attacks) — Pinheiro absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pinheiro
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
Pinheiro · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Pinheiro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Sub · R2
Angela HillRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Amanda RibasRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
Hill · Last 5
Upcoming
Xiong JingnanUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Fatima KlineRating 7.1Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

