METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
25 Oct 2014
Lightweight
VS
51%
Burns
49%
Giagos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:57
★ Official Result
Gilbert BurnswinsSubmissionR1 · 4:57
def. Christos Giagos · UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Burns
→
Actual result
Burns wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Burns at 51% vs Giagos at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Giagos throws more volume but Burns connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Burns's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Giagos has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BurnsGiagos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Burns
Giagos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
40
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burns
Giagos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.8
38.8
48.1
Performance Avg
41.0
40
Quality of Victory
40
28
Momentum Score
64
Burns
Giagos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
1Clinch0
3Ground0
Burns
Giagos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Burns
Giagos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
4
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/32 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Burns
Giagos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
64
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Burns
Giagos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burns
Giagos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
BurnsGiagos
Strike Zones
Burns
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedGiagos
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burns targets the head (57% of attacks) — Giagos absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Giagos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burns
RND
Giagos
0/0R00/0
Burns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Giagos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Mike MalottRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Sean BradyRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
Giagos · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · KO · R1
Ricky GlennRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · Sub · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 1.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09