UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
25 Oct 2014
Lightweight
VS
51%
Burns
49%
Giagos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:57
Gilbert
Gilbert Burns
"Durinho"
22 – 10
5'10"71" reachOrthodox39 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
Christos
Christos Giagos
"The Spartan"
20 – 12
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Burns

This is a genuine toss-up — Burns at 51% vs Giagos at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Giagos throws more volume but Burns connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Burns's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Giagos has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Burns
Giagos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
39
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burns
Giagos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.8
38.8
48.1
Performance Avg
41.0
40
Quality of Victory
40
28
Momentum Score
64
Burns
Giagos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
1Clinch0
3Ground0
Burns
Giagos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Burns
Giagos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
4
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/32 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Burns
Giagos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
64
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Burns
Giagos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Burns
Giagos
Striking3.2 / 2.5Volume4.9 / 4.9Grappling3.8 / 3.9Wrestling2.6 / 2.7Submission3.3 / 3.3Pressure5.5 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Burns
Strike Zones
Giagos
Burns
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Giagos
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Burns targets the head (57% of attacks) — Giagos absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Giagos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Burns
RND
Giagos
0/0R00/0

Burns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.2W5.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.2W2.4L4.5W6.4W4.5W5.6W5.0W4.5W3.9L5.1W7.4L5.6W4.5W6.6L5.5L6.6L3.6L4.5L2014-072018-042020-052024-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Giagos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0101.7L5.0W5.5L4.2L4.5W4.5W6.5L4.5W5.2W3.1L1.7L5.1W3.1L2.8L2014-102018-122021-052023-092024-04
WinLossTrend

Burns · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Mike MalottRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Sean BradyRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Giagos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · KO · R1
Ricky GlennRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · Sub · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 1.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

News & Media

Gilbert Burns · Christos Giagos
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