METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Paris, France
2 Sept 2023
Catch Weight
VS
6%
Fairn
94%
Cavalcanti
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jacqueline CavalcantiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Zarah Fairn · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cavalcanti
→
Actual result
Cavalcanti wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Cavalcanti is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cavalcanti has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Fairn's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FairnCavalcanti
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.7
53.9
0.0
Performance Avg
48.3
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
85
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
2.5
0.0
Style: Volume
9.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
20
4
Body
8
3
Leg
16
RangeRange
24Distance39
0Clinch5
0Ground0
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
85
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.7
FairnCavalcanti
Strike Zones
Fairn
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedCavalcanti
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fairn targets the head (71% of attacks) — Cavalcanti absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Cavalcanti targets the head (45% of attacks) — Fairn absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fairn
RND
Cavalcanti
0/0R00/0
Fairn · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Josiane NunesDecision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Felicia SpencerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonSubmission
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
Cavalcanti · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Mayra Bueno SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Julia AvilaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Nora CornolleDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Josiane NunesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08