UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Paris, France
2 Sept 2023
Catch Weight
VS
6%
Fairn
94%
Cavalcanti
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cavalcanti
Cavalcanti is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cavalcanti has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Cavalcanti has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Fairn's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.7
53.9
0.0
Performance Avg
48.3
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
85
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.1
33%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
20
4
Body
8
3
Leg
16
RangeRange
24Distance39
0Clinch5
0Ground0
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
85
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fairn
Cavalcanti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.7
FairnCavalcanti
Strike Zones
Fairn
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedCavalcanti
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fairn targets the head (71% of attacks) — Cavalcanti absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Cavalcanti targets the head (45% of attacks) — Fairn absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fairn
RND
Cavalcanti
0/0R00/0
Fairn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Cavalcanti · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Fairn · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Josiane NunesRating 6.3Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Felicia SpencerRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
Cavalcanti · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Julia AvilaRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Nora CornolleRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Josiane NunesRating 5.3Decision
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