METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Las Vegas, USA
15 Feb 2025
Featherweight
VS
5%
Matthews
95%
Delgado
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:58
★ Official Result
Jose DelgadowinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:58
def. Connor Matthews · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Delgado
→
Actual result
Delgado wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Delgado is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 59 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Delgado has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Risk flags
Matthews's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MatthewsDelgado
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Matthews
Delgado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+74"
34
Age
+28
Switch
Stance
Switch
Matthews
Delgado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.5
62.7
0.0
Performance Avg
57.5
0
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
78
Matthews
Delgado
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
6.6
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
5.9
0.0
Style: Volume
5.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
14
0
Body
6
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground7
Matthews
Delgado
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Matthews
Delgado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/11 fights
Chin rating based on
6/13 fights
Matthews
Delgado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Matthews
Delgado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Matthews
Delgado
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
MatthewsDelgado
Strike Zones
Matthews
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedDelgado
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Matthews targets the head (100% of attacks) — Delgado absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Delgado targets the head (67% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Matthews
RND
Delgado
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Matthews · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Yadier del ValleSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Jose DelgadoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · KO · R3
Dennis BuzukjaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
Delgado · Last 5
Upcoming
Jean SilvaNoche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Austin BashiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Andre FiliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Hyder AmilKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06