UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Las Vegas, USA
15 Feb 2025
Featherweight
VS
5%
Matthews
95%
Delgado
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Delgado
Delgado is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 62 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Delgado has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.
Delgado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Matthews's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Matthews
Delgado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+74"
33
Age
+28
Switch
Stance
Switch
Matthews
Delgado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.5
65.5
0.0
Performance Avg
59.0
0
Quality of Victory
48
0
Momentum Score
78
Matthews
Delgado
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
3.1
24%
Strike Accuracy
61%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
14
0
Body
6
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground7
Matthews
Delgado
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Matthews
Delgado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Matthews
Delgado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Matthews
Delgado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Matthews
Delgado
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
MatthewsDelgado
Strike Zones
Matthews
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedDelgado
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Matthews targets the head (100% of attacks) — Delgado absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Delgado targets the head (67% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Matthews
RND
Delgado
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Matthews · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Delgado · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Matthews · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Yadier del ValleRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Jose DelgadoRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · KO · R3
Dennis BuzukjaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
Delgado · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Hyder AmilRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Connor MatthewsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02