UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz
Manchester, United Kingdom
26 Oct 2013
Middleweight
VS
53%
Sakara
47%
Musoke
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:07
AS
Alessio Sakara
"Legionarius"
19 – 11
6'0"72" reachOrthodox44 yrs4-fight slideStriker
CFR 18
NM
Nicholas Musoke
"Nico"
13 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sakara

This is a genuine toss-up — Sakara at 53% vs Musoke at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sakara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Sakara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sakara's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sakara
Musoke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sakara
Musoke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
15.7
46.1
Performance Avg
40.8
48
Quality of Victory
35
76
Momentum Score
53
Sakara
Musoke
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
33%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
9
3
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance6
4Clinch5
7Ground1
Sakara
Musoke
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sakara
Musoke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/30 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Sakara
Musoke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
53
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Sakara
Musoke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sakara
Musoke
Striking7.5 / 1.0Volume3.5 / 6.3Grappling0.8 / 4.3Wrestling0.6 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure6.0 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Sakara
Strike Zones
Musoke
Sakara
Attacking
17HEAD3BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Musoke
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD3BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sakara targets the head (85% of attacks) — Musoke absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Musoke targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sakara absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sakara
RND
Musoke
0/0R00/0

Sakara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0104.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W6.3L1.5L4.0L1.5L2006-022007-092009-082012-112013-10
WinLossTrend

Musoke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W4.5W5.8L4.5W5.5L4.0L2013-102014-022014-062014-102015-012017-05
WinLossTrend

Sakara · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Nicholas MusokeRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
L · R1
Patrick CoteRating 4
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · KO · R1
Brian StannRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
W · KO · R1
James IrvinRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03

Musoke · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Bojan VelickovicRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Alexander YakovlevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Viscardi AndradeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02

News & Media

Alessio Sakara · Nicholas Musoke
← Back to fights