UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Las Vegas, USA
18 Dec 2021
Featherweight
VS
50%
Swanson
50%
Elkins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:12
Cub
Cub Swanson
31 – 14
5'8"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Darren
Darren Elkins
"The Damage"
29 – 12
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Swanson

This is a genuine toss-up — Swanson at 50% vs Elkins at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Swanson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Elkins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Swanson
Elkins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swanson
Elkins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
44.7
48.8
Performance Avg
46.3
40
Quality of Victory
35
56
Momentum Score
66
Swanson
Elkins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
38%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Swanson
Elkins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swanson
Elkins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Swanson
Elkins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
66
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Swanson
Elkins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
37%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Swanson
Elkins
Striking6.2 / 3.4Volume5.2 / 6.3Grappling1.2 / 2.8Wrestling0.8 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 1.6Pressure5.3 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.6
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Swanson
Strike Zones
Elkins
Swanson
Attacking
16HEAD2BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Elkins
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD2BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the head (89% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Elkins targets the head (100% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Swanson
RND
Elkins
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Swanson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L5.2W5.2W6.4W5.8W5.5W5.0W4.0L5.1L4.5W4.5W6.3W4.5W3.5L5.5L2.3L5.5L5.3W6.1W2.5L5.5W3.3L4.6W6.2L6.7W5.7W2011-112014-112018-042022-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Elkins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W2.9L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W6.0L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.3W7.0L4.0L5.5L6.2L5.5W5.2W2.0L4.5W6.0L5.5W5.4W1.7L2010-032013-082017-072021-122025-04
WinLossTrend

Swanson · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

Elkins · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Tristan ConnellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

News & Media

Cub Swanson · Darren Elkins
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