METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Las Vegas, USA
18 Dec 2021
Featherweight
VS
51%
Swanson
49%
Elkins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:12
★ Official Result
Cub SwansonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:12
def. Darren Elkins · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Swanson
→
Actual result
Swanson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Swanson at 51% vs Elkins at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Elkins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SwansonElkins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Swanson
Elkins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swanson
Elkins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
44.3
48.8
Performance Avg
45.5
40
Quality of Victory
35
56
Momentum Score
66
Swanson
Elkins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
4.4
5.2
Style: Volume
6.3
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Swanson
Elkins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.6
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Swanson
Elkins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
31/41 fights
Swanson
Elkins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
66
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Swanson
Elkins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
37%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swanson
Elkins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.6
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
SwansonElkins
Strike Zones
Swanson
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedElkins
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the head (89% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Elkins targets the head (100% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swanson
RND
Elkins
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Swanson · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrKO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduDecision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Yadier del ValleKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceDecision
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