UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3
Houston, USA
19 Oct 2013
Welterweight
VS
59%
Marquardt
41%
Lombard
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:48
NM
Nate Marquardt
"The Great"
35 – 19
6'0"74" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
HL
Hector Lombard
34 – 10
Striker6-fight slide48 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 12

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Marquardt

This is a genuine toss-up — Marquardt at 59% vs Lombard at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Lombard throws more volume but Marquardt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Marquardt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lombard has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Marquardt
Lombard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
71"
47+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Marquardt
Lombard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
11.7
48.6
Performance Avg
39.9
46
Quality of Victory
48
59
Momentum Score
0
Marquardt
Lombard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.2
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
10
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
1Clinch2
0Ground3
Marquardt
Lombard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marquardt
Lombard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
24
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.7 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
12/44 fights
Marquardt
Lombard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Marquardt
Lombard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
67%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marquardt
Lombard
Striking5.7 / 7.2Volume3.5 / 3.2Grappling2.6 / 0.8Wrestling1.8 / 0.6Submission2.3 / 0.0Pressure6.4 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.2
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Marquardt
Strike Zones
Lombard
Marquardt
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Lombard
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marquardt targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lombard absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lombard targets the head (100% of attacks) — Marquardt absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marquardt
RND
Lombard
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Marquardt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W5.5L3.1L5.2W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5L2005-082008-092013-032016-102017-11
WinLossTrend

Lombard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.6L2.8L5.5L5.2L4.0L5.5L2012-072013-102016-062018-032018-09
WinLossTrend

Marquardt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
W · KO · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

Lombard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · R1
CB DollawayRating 4
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HendersonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06

News & Media

Nate Marquardt · Hector Lombard
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