METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3
Houston, USA
19 Oct 2013
Welterweight
VS
59%
Marquardt
41%
Lombard
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:48
★ Official Result
Hector LombardwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:48
def. Nate Marquardt · UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Marquardt
→
Actual result
Lombard wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Marquardt at 59% vs Lombard at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Lombard throws more volume but Marquardt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Marquardt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lombard has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MarquardtLombard
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Marquardt
Lombard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
71"
47+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Marquardt
Lombard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
11.7
48.6
Performance Avg
39.9
46
Quality of Victory
48
59
Momentum Score
0
Marquardt
Lombard
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.2
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
10
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
1Clinch2
0Ground3
Marquardt
Lombard
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marquardt
Lombard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
24
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.7 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
12/44 fights
Marquardt
Lombard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Marquardt
Lombard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
67%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marquardt
Lombard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.2
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
MarquardtLombard
Strike Zones
Marquardt
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedLombard
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Marquardt targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lombard absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lombard targets the head (100% of attacks) — Marquardt absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marquardt
RND
Lombard
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Marquardt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Lombard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Marquardt · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
W · KO · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05
Lombard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · R1
CB DollawayRating 4UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HendersonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06