UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Monterrey, Mexico
21 Nov 2015
Welterweight
VS
58%
Urbina
42%
Fabinski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
HU
Hector Urbina
"El Toro"
17 – 10
5'11"73" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 18
BF
Bartosz Fabinski
"The Butcher"
15 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Urbina

This is a genuine toss-up — Urbina at 58% vs Fabinski at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Urbina has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Fabinski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Fabinski has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Urbina
Fabinski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Urbina
Fabinski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
12.6
45.7
Performance Avg
35.0
54
Quality of Victory
25
35
Momentum Score
45
Urbina
Fabinski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
70%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
5Clinch1
0Ground2
Urbina
Fabinski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.8
Sub Attempts / fight
—
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Urbina
Fabinski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
64
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Urbina
Fabinski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Urbina
Fabinski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Urbina
Fabinski
Striking0.7 / 1.0Volume0.7 / 9.0Grappling8.0 / 2.4Wrestling5.6 / 1.7Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Urbina
Strike Zones
Fabinski
Urbina
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Fabinski
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Urbina targets the head (100% of attacks) — Fabinski absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Fabinski targets the head (100% of attacks) — Urbina absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Urbina
RND
Fabinski
0/0R00/0

Urbina · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.5L3.0L2014-112015-112016-09
WinLossTrend

Fabinski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0104.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L2.4L2.6L2015-042015-112018-072018-112020-092021-04
WinLossTrend

Urbina · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Bartosz FabinskiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Sub · R1
Edgar GarciaRating 5
Submission
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11

Fabinski · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizRating 2.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Emil MeekRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Hector UrbinaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11

News & Media

Hector Urbina · Bartosz Fabinski
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