The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jun 2012
Lightweight
VS
88%
Jury
12%
Saunders
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jury
Jury is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jury has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Striking split: Saunders throws more volume but Jury connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jury's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jury
Saunders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
73"
Reach
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
—
Jury
Saunders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
2.5
51.3
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Jury
Saunders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
22%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
2
Body
0
5
Leg
5
RangeRange
12Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jury
Saunders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jury
Saunders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/21 fights
Chin rating based on
1/24 fights
Jury
Saunders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jury
Saunders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jury
Saunders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JurySaunders
Strike Zones
Jury
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedSaunders
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jury targets the head (42% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Saunders targets the legs (83% of attacks) — Jury absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jury
RND
Saunders
0/0R00/0
Jury · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Jury · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Chad MendesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12
W · KO · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
Saunders · Last 1
L · Sub · R1
Myles JuryRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06