UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Anaheim, USA
23 Feb 2013
Welterweight
VS
89%
Robertson
11%
Jardine
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:57
KR
Kenny Robertson
15 – 5
5'10"74" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
BJ
Brock Jardine
"The Machine"
12 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox5'11"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Robertson

Robertson is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Robertson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.

Robertson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Robertson
Jardine
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
74"
Reach
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Robertson
Jardine
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
2.4
46.7
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
69
Momentum Score
0
Robertson
Jardine
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
39%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Robertson
Jardine
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Robertson
Jardine
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Robertson
Jardine
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Robertson
Jardine
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Robertson
Jardine
Striking3.4 / 0.0Volume2.9 / 0.0Grappling4.6 / 0.0Wrestling3.2 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.6 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Robertson
Strike Zones
Jardine
Robertson
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Jardine
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Robertson targets the head (89% of attacks) — Jardine absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Jardine targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Robertson
RND
Jardine
0/0R00/0

Robertson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L5.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L2011-022013-062015-012016-09
WinLossTrend

Jardine · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.5L1.5L2012-062013-02
WinLossTrend

Robertson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Ben SaundersRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Sultan AlievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Ildemar AlcantaraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Sub · R1
Thiago PerpetuoRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

Jardine · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Kenny RobertsonRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06

News & Media

Kenny Robertson · Brock Jardine
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