UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
New York City, USA
16 Nov 2024
Bantamweight
VS
40%
Martinez
60%
McGhee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jonathan
Jonathan Martinez
"Dragon"
19 – 6
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Marcus
Marcus McGhee
"The Maniac"
10 – 2
Striker36 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 68

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McGhee

McGhee holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Martinez has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

McGhee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Martinez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Martinez
McGhee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
32+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Martinez
McGhee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.0
68.4
48.3
Performance Avg
60.4
36
Quality of Victory
47
63
Momentum Score
87
Martinez
McGhee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
16
1
Body
7
11
Leg
4
RangeRange
23Distance26
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Martinez
McGhee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Martinez
McGhee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Martinez
McGhee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
87
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Martinez
McGhee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Martinez
McGhee
Striking5.3 / 6.6Volume6.1 / 3.6Grappling1.4 / 2.6Wrestling1.0 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure4.8 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Martinez
Strike Zones
McGhee
Martinez
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY11LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD7BODY4LEGS27 absorbed
McGhee
Attacking
16HEAD7BODY4LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY11LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Martinez targets the head (50% of attacks) — McGhee absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯McGhee targets the head (59% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Martinez
RND
McGhee
0/0R00/0

Martinez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L4.5W5.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W3.6L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.8W5.9W6.7W6.0L7.2L2018-102020-082022-022023-102024-11
WinLossTrend

McGhee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W5.0W5.4W5.0W7.0L2023-042023-082024-012024-112025-07
WinLossTrend

Martinez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 6
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Adrian YanezRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · KO · R2
Cub SwansonRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

McGhee · Last 5

Upcoming
Jakub Wiklacz
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · KO · R2
Gaston BolanosRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
W · KO · R1
JP BuysRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

News & Media

Jonathan Martinez · Marcus McGhee
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