METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
New York City, USA
16 Nov 2024
Bantamweight
VS
41%
Martinez
59%
McGhee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Marcus McGheewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jonathan Martinez · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McGhee
→
Actual result
McGhee wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Martinez at 41% vs McGhee at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MartinezMcGhee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Martinez
McGhee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
32+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Martinez
McGhee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.0
64.9
48.3
Performance Avg
59.1
36
Quality of Victory
43
63
Momentum Score
81
Martinez
McGhee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
6.7
6.1
Style: Volume
4.9
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
16
1
Body
7
11
Leg
4
RangeRange
23Distance26
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Martinez
McGhee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Martinez
McGhee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/12 fights
Martinez
McGhee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
81
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Martinez
McGhee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
60%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Martinez
McGhee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
MartinezMcGhee
Strike Zones
Martinez
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedMcGhee
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Martinez targets the head (50% of attacks) — McGhee absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯McGhee targets the head (59% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Martinez
RND
McGhee
0/0R00/0
Martinez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
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McGhee · Last 5
Upcoming
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · KO · R2
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