UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
Phoenix, USA
13 Dec 2014
Heavyweight
VS
25%
Santos
75%
Miocic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miocic
Miocic is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miocic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miocic has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Santos
Miocic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
77"
Reach
+80"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Miocic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
56.3
57.8
Performance Avg
64.9
53
Quality of Victory
59
59
Momentum Score
78
Santos
Miocic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
53%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
10 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
24
20
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
38Distance20
2Clinch5
0Ground0
Santos
Miocic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Miocic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/30 fights
Chin rating based on
19/25 fights
Santos
Miocic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
78
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
Santos
Miocic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
64%
10
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Miocic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
SantosMiocic
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedMiocic
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (50% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Miocic targets the head (96% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Miocic
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Miocic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
Miocic · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Francis NgannouRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Daniel CormierRating 4.5Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R4
Daniel CormierRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Daniel CormierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07