UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
26 Sept 2015
Featherweight
VS
38%
Hirota
62%
Ishihara
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MH
Mizuto Hirota
"Pugnus"
18 – 10
5'7"67" reachOrthodox45 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 9
TI
Teruto Ishihara
"Yashabo"
10 – 7
Striker3-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw69" reach5'7"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ishihara

Ishihara holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Hirota has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Ishihara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Striking split: Hirota throws more volume but Ishihara connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Ishihara has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hirota
Ishihara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+69"
45
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Hirota
Ishihara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.6
14.1
21.7
Performance Avg
43.0
25
Quality of Victory
47
15
Momentum Score
13
Hirota
Ishihara
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
13
3
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance11
12Clinch4
0Ground0
Hirota
Ishihara
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hirota
Ishihara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/28 fights
Chin rating based on
9/17 fights
Hirota
Ishihara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
13
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hirota
Ishihara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hirota
Ishihara
Striking0.3 / 7.4Volume8.3 / 3.4Grappling2.4 / 0.8Wrestling1.7 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.5 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Hirota
Strike Zones
Ishihara
Hirota
Attacking
23HEAD3BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY1LEGS15 absorbed
Ishihara
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY1LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD3BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hirota targets the head (88% of attacks) — Ishihara absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Ishihara targets the head (87% of attacks) — Hirota absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hirota
RND
Ishihara
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hirota · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.9L5.5L4.5W7.0L5.5L5.7L2013-032013-062016-122017-062018-022018-12
WinLossTrend

Ishihara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L3.0L2.4L2016-032016-112017-092018-062019-02
WinLossTrend

Hirota · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Cole MillerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
Upcoming
Teruto Ishihara
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09

Ishihara · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Kyung Ho KangRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Petr YanRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Jose QuinonezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Rolando DyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07

News & Media

Mizuto Hirota · Teruto Ishihara
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