METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Salt Lake City, USA
20 Aug 2022
Bantamweight
VS
42%
Aldo
58%
Dvalishvili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Merab DvalishviliwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jose Aldo · UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dvalishvili
→
Actual result
Dvalishvili wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Aldo at 42% vs Dvalishvili at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aldo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AldoDvalishvili
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Aldo
Dvalishvili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aldo
Dvalishvili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
60.4
53.6
Performance Avg
53.2
49
Quality of Victory
34
40
Momentum Score
100
Aldo
Dvalishvili
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
3.5
6.9
Style: Volume
8.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
13
6
Body
5
1
Leg
12
RangeRange
11Distance19
1Clinch11
0Ground0
Aldo
Dvalishvili
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aldo
Dvalishvili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
84
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Aldo
Dvalishvili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
Aldo
Dvalishvili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
14%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldo
Dvalishvili
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
AldoDvalishvili
Strike Zones
Aldo
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedDvalishvili
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldo targets the body (50% of attacks) — Dvalishvili absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Dvalishvili targets the head (43% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldo
RND
Dvalishvili
0/0R00/0
Aldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezDecision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
Dvalishvili · Last 5
Upcoming
Petr YanUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Sean O'MalleySubmission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01