UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Salt Lake City, USA
20 Aug 2022
Featherweight
VS
68%
Woodson
32%
Saldana
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Woodson
Woodson holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Saldana has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Woodson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Woodson throws more volume but Saldana connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Woodson's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Woodson
Saldana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
78"+
Reach
73"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Woodson
Saldana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.1
26.4
52.1
Performance Avg
41.7
35
Quality of Victory
25
84
Momentum Score
73
Woodson
Saldana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
15
5
Body
5
1
Leg
9
RangeRange
22Distance28
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Woodson
Saldana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Woodson
Saldana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/23 fights
Woodson
Saldana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
73
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Woodson
Saldana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Woodson
Saldana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
WoodsonSaldana
Strike Zones
Woodson
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedSaldana
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Woodson targets the head (75% of attacks) — Saldana absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Saldana targets the head (52% of attacks) — Woodson absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Woodson
RND
Saldana
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Woodson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Saldana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Woodson · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Dan IgeRating 4.7KO/TKO
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Saldana · Last 4
Upcoming
Sean WoodsonDecision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SouzaRating 4.5Decision
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