METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Dublin, Ireland
24 Oct 2015
Welterweight
VS
50%
Pendred
50%
Breese
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:37
★ Official Result
Tom BreesewinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:37
def. Cathal Pendred · UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pendred
→
Actual result
Breese wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pendred at 50% vs Breese at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Breese has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Risk flags
Breese has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PendredBreese
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pendred
Breese
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"+
Reach
73"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pendred
Breese
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
19.7
45.3
Performance Avg
56.8
31
Quality of Victory
53
99
Momentum Score
46
Pendred
Breese
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
9.3
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
7.5
7.3
Style: Volume
2.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
20
2
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance22
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Pendred
Breese
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pendred
Breese
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/21 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Pendred
Breese
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
46
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Pendred
Breese
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pendred
Breese
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
PendredBreese
Strike Zones
Pendred
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedBreese
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pendred targets the head (40% of attacks) — Breese absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Breese targets the head (87% of attacks) — Pendred absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pendred
RND
Breese
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pendred · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tom BreeseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Sean SpencerDecision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Gasan UmalatovDecision
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Breese · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Omari AkhmedovSubmission
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Brendan AllenKO/TKO
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Daniel KellyKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandDecision
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