METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Las Vegas, USA
18 Nov 2023
Bantamweight
VS
93%
Talbott
7%
Aguirre
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 0:58
★ Official Result
Payton TalbottwinsSubmissionR3 · 0:58
def. Nick Aguirre · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Talbott
→
Actual result
Talbott wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Talbott is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 60 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Talbott has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TalbottAguirre
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Talbott
Aguirre
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+74"
28+
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Talbott
Aguirre
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.5
5.2
58.5
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
86
Momentum Score
0
Talbott
Aguirre
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.9
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
3
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Talbott
Aguirre
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Talbott
Aguirre
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/12 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Talbott
Aguirre
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
86
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Talbott
Aguirre
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Talbott
Aguirre
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TalbottAguirre
Strike Zones
Talbott
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedAguirre
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Talbott targets the head (67% of attacks) — Aguirre absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Aguirre targets the head (100% of attacks) — Talbott absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Talbott
RND
Aguirre
0/0R00/0
Talbott · Last 5
Upcoming
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