METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Anaheim, USA
17 Feb 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
48%
Lemos
52%
Dern
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Amanda LemoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mackenzie Dern · UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dern
→
Actual result
Lemos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lemos at 48% vs Dern at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Lemos's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LemosDern
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lemos
Dern
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
65"+
Reach
63"
39
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lemos
Dern
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.2
60.4
48.1
Performance Avg
52.7
43
Quality of Victory
41
85
Momentum Score
94
Lemos
Dern
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
5.0
4.7
Style: Volume
6.1
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground4
Lemos
Dern
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
4.2
2
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lemos
Dern
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
17/21 fights
Lemos
Dern
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
94
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lemos
Dern
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
42%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lemos
Dern
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.2
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
LemosDern
Strike Zones
Lemos
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedDern
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lemos targets the head (83% of attacks) — Dern absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Dern targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lemos absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lemos
RND
Dern
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
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UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02