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UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
Austin, USA
15 Sept 2010
Lightweight
VS
51%
Miller
49%
Pearson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 Β· 1:49
CM
Cole Miller
"Magrinho"
21 – 11
6'1"73" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 18
RP
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
20 – 16
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 17
β˜… Official Result
Cole MillerwinsSubmissionR2 Β· 1:49
def. Ross Pearson Β· UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
β†’
Actual result
Miller wins
Submission Β· R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Miller at 51% vs Pearson at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pearson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pearson has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MillerPearson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Miller
Pearson
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
69"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Pearson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
17.0
49.0
Performance Avg
44.3
47
Quality of Victory
42
49
Momentum Score
89
Miller
Pearson
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.6
31%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
6
0
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance9
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Miller
Pearson
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
β€”
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Pearson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
26/36 fights
Miller
Pearson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
49
89
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Upcoming
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Miller
Pearson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
7
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Pearson
Striking2.0 / 4.3Volume2.6 / 5.6Grappling6.1 / 1.4Wrestling4.3 / 1.0Submission7.0 / 0.0Pressure7.2 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
7.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Miller
Strike Zones
Pearson
Miller
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY3LEGS10 absorbed
Pearson
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY3LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (91% of attacks) β€” Pearson absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Pearson targets the head (60% of attacks) β€” Miller absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Pearson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Miller Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W3.2L5.5W5.0W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.2W6.6L5.7L5.5L2007-062009-092012-032014-012016-12
WinLossTrend

Pearson Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W6.0L4.5W3.3L5.2W5.2W5.5L5.2W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.5L3.6L4.5W5.5L1.5L2009-062012-062015-072017-062019-03
WinLossTrend

Miller Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson Β· 2016-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 Β· 2016-06
Upcoming
Jim Alers
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 Β· 2015-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch Β· 2015-02
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Sam SiciliaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou Β· 2014-01

Pearson Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje Β· 2019-03
L Β· Dec Β· R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 Β· 2018-07
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold Β· 2018-02
L Β· KO Β· R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt Β· 2017-06
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 Β· 2016-11

News & Media

Cole Miller Β· Ross Pearson
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