UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
Austin, USA
15 Sept 2010
Lightweight
VS
51%
Miller
49%
Pearson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:49
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 51% vs Pearson at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pearson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pearson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
Pearson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
69"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Pearson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
17.0
49.0
Performance Avg
44.3
47
Quality of Victory
42
49
Momentum Score
89
Miller
Pearson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
31%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
6
0
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance9
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Miller
Pearson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Pearson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
26/36 fights
Miller
Pearson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
89
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Miller
Pearson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
7
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Pearson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
7.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
MillerPearson
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedPearson
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (91% of attacks) — Pearson absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Pearson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Pearson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Pearson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 5.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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Upcoming
Jim AlersUFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
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W · Sub · R2
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Pearson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
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