METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Perth, Australia
2 May 2026
Heavyweight
VS
64%
Tuivasa
36%
Sutherland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Louie SutherlandwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tai Tuivasa · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tuivasa
→
Actual result
Sutherland wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Tuivasa holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Sutherland has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tuivasa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Risk flags
Tuivasa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sutherland has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TuivasaSutherland
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tuivasa
Sutherland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+76"
33
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tuivasa
Sutherland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
23.9
50.4
Performance Avg
25.0
54
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
17
Tuivasa
Sutherland
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.6
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
0.8
1.9
Style: Volume
8.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
3Ground2
Tuivasa
Sutherland
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tuivasa
Sutherland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Tuivasa
Sutherland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
17
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Tuivasa
Sutherland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tuivasa
Sutherland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
TuivasaSutherland
Strike Zones
Tuivasa
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSutherland
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sutherland absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sutherland targets the head (60% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tuivasa
RND
Sutherland
0/0R00/0
Tuivasa · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandDecision
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaSubmission
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Sutherland · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Jose MontanhaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Brando PericicKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
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