UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos
Minneapolis, USA
29 Jun 2019
Lightweight
VS
50%
Roberts
50%
Pichel
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Roberts
This is a genuine toss-up — Roberts at 50% vs Pichel at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pichel has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Roberts's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pichel has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Roberts
Pichel
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
72"
32+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Roberts
Pichel
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.9
39.5
40.8
Performance Avg
41.3
38
Quality of Victory
30
53
Momentum Score
40
Roberts
Pichel
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
18
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch2
0Ground14
Roberts
Pichel
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Roberts
Pichel
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
12/19 fights
Roberts
Pichel
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
40
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Roberts
Pichel
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Roberts
Pichel
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
RobertsPichel
Strike Zones
Roberts
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedPichel
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pichel absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pichel targets the head (86% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Roberts
RND
Pichel
0/0R00/0
Roberts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Pichel · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Roberts · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7Decision
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L · Sub · R1
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L · KO · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.3KO/TKO
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Upcoming
Kevin CroomUFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
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Pichel · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Ismael BonfimRating 5.9Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Mark MadsenRating 5.7Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9Decision
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