METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 May 2019
Welterweight
VS
67%
Alves
33%
Moraes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:13
★ Official Result
Warlley AlveswinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:13
def. Sergio Moraes · UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alves
→
Actual result
Alves wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Alves holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Moraes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alves has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Alves's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moraes has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlvesMoraes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alves
Moraes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
35+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alves
Moraes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
19.0
49.3
Performance Avg
47.0
49
Quality of Victory
37
30
Momentum Score
95
Alves
Moraes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
5.3
3.0
Style: Volume
5.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
4
7
Body
2
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
36Distance6
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Alves
Moraes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alves
Moraes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Alves
Moraes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
95
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Alves
Moraes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alves
Moraes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
AlvesMoraes
Strike Zones
Alves
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedMoraes
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (63% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Moraes targets the head (67% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alves
RND
Moraes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Alves · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Nicolas DalbyDecision
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L · KO · R2
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Moraes · Last 5
L · KO · R3
James KrauseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesKO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
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W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansDecision
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