UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Anaheim, USA
23 Feb 2013
Lightweight
VS
82%
Stout
18%
Fodor
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SS
Sam Stout
"Hands of Stone"
20 – 12
5'9"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 12
Caros
Caros Fodor
"The Future"
11 – 6
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'9"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Stout

Stout is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Stout has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Striking split: Stout throws more volume but Fodor connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Stout's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Stout
Fodor
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stout
Fodor
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.3
2.7
35.3
Performance Avg
0.0
29
Quality of Victory
0
60
Momentum Score
0
Stout
Fodor
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
28%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
9
4
Body
6
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance10
6Clinch6
0Ground0
Stout
Fodor
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stout
Fodor
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
1/17 fights
Stout
Fodor
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Stout
Fodor
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stout
Fodor
Striking2.0 / 0.0Volume8.0 / 0.0Grappling2.1 / 0.0Wrestling1.5 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Stout
Strike Zones
Fodor
Stout
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD6BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Fodor
Attacking
9HEAD6BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stout targets the head (50% of attacks) — Fodor absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Fodor targets the head (56% of attacks) — Stout absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stout
RND
Fodor
0/0R00/0

Stout · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W6.0L4.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.0L4.5W1.5L2.8L1.5L2006-032008-102011-062013-062015-08
WinLossTrend

Stout · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Frankie PerezRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Ross PearsonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · KO · R1
KJ NoonsRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · Sub · R3
James KrauseRating 4
Submission
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06

Fodor · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02

News & Media

Sam Stout · Caros Fodor
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